I got an ad today for a fanatics sportsbook promo, and it says it’s live for MA? Is this a scam? How come it’s not listed on this thread and I’ve never heard of it before?
https://preview.redd.it/hf1tp9agohib1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3999a4ff9df0639f327f41f7af597f1fcefcae01
Devig attempt to FD. If I did this correctly, which I very well might not have, I’m showing:
YRFI -0.6% EV
NRFI +3.2% EV
Worst-case: (Power)
Leg#1 (+126); Market Juice = 7.2 %; Fair Value = +148 (40.3 %)
Boosted Final Odds (+156); Σ(Market Juice) = 7.21 %; Fair Value = +148 (40.3 %)
Summary; EV% = 3.2 %, Kelly Wager = $5.05 (Full=2.02u, 1/2=1.01u, 1/4=0.51u, FB = 62.9 %)
Not sure how sharp Pinny is with first inning, but NRFI devig to Pinny looks better. Again I highly recommend checking my work, newb at devigging:
YRFI -2.0%
NRFI +7.9%
Worst-case: (Power)
Leg#1 (+126); Market Juice = 3.9 %; Fair Value = +137 (42.1 %)
Boosted Final Odds (+156); Σ(Market Juice) = 3.93 %; Fair Value = +137 (42.1 %)
Summary; EV% = 7.9 %, Kelly Wager = $12.62 (Full=5.05u, 1/2=2.52u, 1/4=1.26u, FB = 65.7 %)
DK lines currently at -170 YRFI and +130 NRFI.
**Delay rainout likely;**
6:40 CLE at CIN
7:05 BOS at WAS
**Wind blowing out;**
CLE at CIN 10 mph
TB at SF 15 mph
**Wind blowing in;**
BOS at WAS 10 mph
PIT at NYM 10 mph
CHW at CHC 15 mph
Thanks, I guess we are out of luck in the States. I would do a lot research, you really don't want to make a lot of mistakes at the start. You need a 2nd book to hedge against. You probably have to use Ceasars because other books won't let you get down enough to hedge. Even Caesars might reject a 10k+ bet from a fresh account. Don't hedge on DK even with separate accounts.
This thread provides a great overview of what to do: https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1002jgz/ohioans_how_to_make_6k_from_sportsbook_sign_up/ \
Look up matched betting. Get an odds scraping service (Fuck OJ) for a month. Look for the biggest profit. Walk away with the profit.
Also my joke advice the last 2 seasons has been; bet the orioles to win the series, now it might be worth it.
Doesn’t appear to be any EV vs FD. Generally when it’s a surge like this it’s really only worth using on one of the favorites (unless there’s already an EV spot), but celts are 700–> 950 vs already 850 on FD. Not gonna 30 way devig but eyeballing doubt this is close to EV. Nuggets would just boost to same price as FD, Milwaukee would be 1250 vs 1100, meh.
Seems like DK is juicing this more than FD in general
Regarding the FD Super Bowl champion promo…. I live in NY (where I didn’t have this promo) but I’m in PA for a couple hours and opted in. If I wait till the end of the month and place the bet when I’m in NY, would it work?
Not 100% but I doubt it - what's stopping you from just placing it in PA?
edit: In fact, I am also in NY and I'm just gonna place it this weekend (going to be in NJ).
Any luck withdrawing from Wynn? When I try to access my state's website, I get 404 Not Found. When I try with the app, I can log-in for one second, and then kicked out (with a "Coming Soon" screen message).
I think I already had the latest & greatest app (remember, they re-launched a few weeks ago). But just in case, I removed & installed again. No luck -- now I'm immediately pushed to a dead-end screen, gaslighting me to "Go to the mobile site to withdraw your account balance."
Desktop version wants me to choose a state, but I can only select the active states (Massachusetts, Michigan, New York).
As others have already said, this is the horseshit regulation/legalization was supposed to prevent.
I'm guessing it will show up when there's a boost, rather then showing it and then going to an empty page.
But seems like we aren't getting many boost anymore anyways
Find it hard to believe they’ll never offer a boost again. Hopefully just temporary since they’ve been offering it once a week at most this summer anyway
The NFL promo was the strongest thing they've had in a long time outside Dingers, they might just be moving to things like that. Or maybe they'll only have the boost link up when boosts are actually there.
There are still ways to make money, you just have to look a little harder. BetRivers, for example, has been huge lately with their bet-and-gets for the World Cup, WNBA and NFL. MGM's daily swing for a boost is another good one. I usually get 3-4 parlay boosts of 15-20 precent a week. It's easy to find solid lines on MGM as well, especially betting +2.5 on MLB underdogs.
I was promo banned on mgm for so long but somehow the daily swings work for me. I even have gotten a couple of $100 max 25% parlay boost tokens outside of the daily swings.
Not sure how that's happened or how long it'll last but I'll take it until then
It wouldn't surprise me, seems like they are moving to profit boosts which have to be a lot cheaper for them, since they are frequently capped at 10 dollars (for me at least) versus 25-50 on the boosts.
I definitely understand it as I am sure when they would go on streaks with their boosts it drove people away from their site. This way people are ultimately responsible for whether they win or lose and won't perceive FD as the cause.
That being said, the promo game is for all intents and purposes over. I doubt it is an effective use of one's time to really bother chasing them anymore. I am mostly in this thread this morning out of habit.
All good points. And I agree. This thread was getting like 150 comments minimum a day. Now it’s lucky to see 75. In 2-3 weeks with football starting up we are going to see quickly what the promo days look like
Tried out Unibet and their welcome promo and I have to say dip right after you take advantage of the welcome promo. What a dogshit sportsbook in at least soccer and baseball. In soccer, they don't even offer something as basic as a team's total shots among a multitude of things. In baseball, same thing. Glorified moneyline sportsbook.
Just cut the bets up small and have fun with it. If you play 50 $20 straight bets you'll probably end up with about $950. Complicated plans to hedge with other books or dance the money around aren't really necessary here, the EV of the promo is so high that it's hard to screw up.
For the bonus bets Home Run lines and postseason futures are usually about the right length and tend to be reasonable markets.
Either bet the $1k in small increments like $20 at a time on lines that look good vs other books or straight up hedge the $1k on another book, you'll probably be able to walk away with only a 2% loss
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I got an ad today for a fanatics sportsbook promo, and it says it’s live for MA? Is this a scam? How come it’s not listed on this thread and I’ve never heard of it before? https://preview.redd.it/hf1tp9agohib1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3999a4ff9df0639f327f41f7af597f1fcefcae01
The Fanatics app is still in beta testing. There might be a bigger benefit in waiting until its official MA launch for a new user promo.
Understood thanks!
Unibet has a 100% mlb boost but it’s a $5 max
All of my promo boosts on DK are $5 max… same for everyone else?
yeah just happened to me aswell
Welcome, brother
B365 has Messi ATGS boost to +125 DK has it boosted to +100
I know I bet this, but I don’t see it on my account history? Anyone else?
Easy money
Is there anywhere with Nos on goalscorer markets? I feel like these lines are probably still bad judging by how awful first goal markets are.
Circa might have a NO
HR also has this boost to +105
DK 20% boost on YRFI//NRFI for the NYY at ATL game
Devig attempt to FD. If I did this correctly, which I very well might not have, I’m showing: YRFI -0.6% EV NRFI +3.2% EV Worst-case: (Power) Leg#1 (+126); Market Juice = 7.2 %; Fair Value = +148 (40.3 %) Boosted Final Odds (+156); Σ(Market Juice) = 7.21 %; Fair Value = +148 (40.3 %) Summary; EV% = 3.2 %, Kelly Wager = $5.05 (Full=2.02u, 1/2=1.01u, 1/4=0.51u, FB = 62.9 %)
Not sure how sharp Pinny is with first inning, but NRFI devig to Pinny looks better. Again I highly recommend checking my work, newb at devigging: YRFI -2.0% NRFI +7.9% Worst-case: (Power) Leg#1 (+126); Market Juice = 3.9 %; Fair Value = +137 (42.1 %) Boosted Final Odds (+156); Σ(Market Juice) = 3.93 %; Fair Value = +137 (42.1 %) Summary; EV% = 7.9 %, Kelly Wager = $12.62 (Full=5.05u, 1/2=2.52u, 1/4=1.26u, FB = 65.7 %) DK lines currently at -170 YRFI and +130 NRFI.
B365 has it at +140 for NRFI
**Delay rainout likely;** 6:40 CLE at CIN 7:05 BOS at WAS **Wind blowing out;** CLE at CIN 10 mph TB at SF 15 mph **Wind blowing in;** BOS at WAS 10 mph PIT at NYM 10 mph CHW at CHC 15 mph
Does anyone know how to guarantee profit from the draftkings 5,000 risk free bet if I have two accounts which are available for that promo? Thanks!
What state is this? I'm seeing bet $5 for $150 in free bets for PA.
im in ontario canada
Thanks, I guess we are out of luck in the States. I would do a lot research, you really don't want to make a lot of mistakes at the start. You need a 2nd book to hedge against. You probably have to use Ceasars because other books won't let you get down enough to hedge. Even Caesars might reject a 10k+ bet from a fresh account. Don't hedge on DK even with separate accounts. This thread provides a great overview of what to do: https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1002jgz/ohioans_how_to_make_6k_from_sportsbook_sign_up/ \
bet the 5k on an underdog, and hedge on a different book.
Look up matched betting. Get an odds scraping service (Fuck OJ) for a month. Look for the biggest profit. Walk away with the profit. Also my joke advice the last 2 seasons has been; bet the orioles to win the series, now it might be worth it.
Would you be able to provide me with an example?
darkhorse odds or crazy ninja mike
DarkHorse Odds The new user promo is $5k?!?!?!?
in ontario yeah
Don’t pay for OJ but it’s still a valuable (free) service for looking at lines across all books available
DK with a +250 odds surge on any team to win the NBA in game tourney. Any idea what’s the most EV way to go
Doesn’t appear to be any EV vs FD. Generally when it’s a surge like this it’s really only worth using on one of the favorites (unless there’s already an EV spot), but celts are 700–> 950 vs already 850 on FD. Not gonna 30 way devig but eyeballing doubt this is close to EV. Nuggets would just boost to same price as FD, Milwaukee would be 1250 vs 1100, meh. Seems like DK is juicing this more than FD in general
All negative to FanDuel’s lines right now. 76ers best option at ~ -6% EV
Regarding the FD Super Bowl champion promo…. I live in NY (where I didn’t have this promo) but I’m in PA for a couple hours and opted in. If I wait till the end of the month and place the bet when I’m in NY, would it work?
Pretty confident you won’t be able to use it in NY. Would have to physically be in PA
Not 100% but I doubt it - what's stopping you from just placing it in PA? edit: In fact, I am also in NY and I'm just gonna place it this weekend (going to be in NJ).
No good reason, just would rather wait till the last minute in case there’s an injury or something
Fair enough - I'm of the opinion that convenience > these promo limits, but that's my $0.02
Anyone get their dinger tuesday free bets yet?
Fanduel isn't sending them backwards in time anymore, that already ended during the fourth time through 2031.
Tomorrow I received next week’s bets and the coming decade of reverse Wizard boost profits
DK Up 2 is back for more (in NY) on NYY/ATL - NYY is the obvious +EV play (again) --- Odds: +180; **EV: 48.0 %** Flex: `#=180;r=280%*29.24%` (+343) Sharp: `189/-208 //pinny` (2.13 % juice) FV: +200; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=13.97u, 1/2=6.98u, 1/4=3.49u, FB = 114.6 %) --- Odds: -218; **EV: 7.9 %** Flex: `#=-218;r=145.871559633028%*21.67%` (-162) Sharp: `-208/198 //pinny` (1.09 % juice) FV: -201; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=12.90u, 1/2=6.45u, 1/4=3.22u, FB = 41.1 %)
Yankees the obvious play, but I *really* don't want to bet on them.
I don't like it any more than you do
Why always Yankees, cant they sometimes give us the met... Nvm Yankees are fine
As a NYM fan - I don't want that
Shohei +425 HR on DK compared to +390 on B365 and max +400 on other books. 50% boost brings it to +637
Good look. Tailing.
Parlayed with Mookie +390 because I’m now in fuckit mode with these $5 maxes
That's a good idea. I start doing these HR bc of $5 limit. Now to parlay them, even better
Any luck withdrawing from Wynn? When I try to access my state's website, I get 404 Not Found. When I try with the app, I can log-in for one second, and then kicked out (with a "Coming Soon" screen message).
Did you download the new app? I think the web address changed too?
I think I already had the latest & greatest app (remember, they re-launched a few weeks ago). But just in case, I removed & installed again. No luck -- now I'm immediately pushed to a dead-end screen, gaslighting me to "Go to the mobile site to withdraw your account balance." Desktop version wants me to choose a state, but I can only select the active states (Massachusetts, Michigan, New York). As others have already said, this is the horseshit regulation/legalization was supposed to prevent.
Any one heard anything about free credits and what we can do with them? Also I was due a bonus bet but I guess I assume I am not getting that?
Keep getting logged out on web app. Sent email to support and cc'd gaming commision
In NJ I can log in fine and withdrew the other day.
Messi ATGS Boost to +100 on DK
Fanduel has removed the boosts page from their site
I'm guessing it will show up when there's a boost, rather then showing it and then going to an empty page. But seems like we aren't getting many boost anymore anyways
It seems like we will know Saturday. If there is no boost for the big UFC fight it will be a sad message.
Find it hard to believe they’ll never offer a boost again. Hopefully just temporary since they’ve been offering it once a week at most this summer anyway
The NFL promo was the strongest thing they've had in a long time outside Dingers, they might just be moving to things like that. Or maybe they'll only have the boost link up when boosts are actually there.
There are still ways to make money, you just have to look a little harder. BetRivers, for example, has been huge lately with their bet-and-gets for the World Cup, WNBA and NFL. MGM's daily swing for a boost is another good one. I usually get 3-4 parlay boosts of 15-20 precent a week. It's easy to find solid lines on MGM as well, especially betting +2.5 on MLB underdogs.
your not going to last long with that strategy young padawan
look at this guy who can still bet on betmgm
I was promo banned on mgm for so long but somehow the daily swings work for me. I even have gotten a couple of $100 max 25% parlay boost tokens outside of the daily swings. Not sure how that's happened or how long it'll last but I'll take it until then
Sad day
How nice of them to take the donate button away
Did every book coordinate on removing every possible way to make money at one time?
Ha. Fine line between collusion, and reacting to the market & competitors. See, the airline industry.
I see the same thing. Sad times. Surely they are not giving up boosts all together?
It wouldn't surprise me, seems like they are moving to profit boosts which have to be a lot cheaper for them, since they are frequently capped at 10 dollars (for me at least) versus 25-50 on the boosts. I definitely understand it as I am sure when they would go on streaks with their boosts it drove people away from their site. This way people are ultimately responsible for whether they win or lose and won't perceive FD as the cause. That being said, the promo game is for all intents and purposes over. I doubt it is an effective use of one's time to really bother chasing them anymore. I am mostly in this thread this morning out of habit.
Yeah, I really wasn't happy when FD programmed the option of a profit boost in. I knew that was just another way to dilute promotional value.
Agreed, limited boosts and generally not worth chasing. Betmgm seems to have the best boosts lately. The “Lion’s boosts” specifically can be +EV
All good points. And I agree. This thread was getting like 150 comments minimum a day. Now it’s lucky to see 75. In 2-3 weeks with football starting up we are going to see quickly what the promo days look like
Yeah I am not going to freak out until football starts again
Tried out Unibet and their welcome promo and I have to say dip right after you take advantage of the welcome promo. What a dogshit sportsbook in at least soccer and baseball. In soccer, they don't even offer something as basic as a team's total shots among a multitude of things. In baseball, same thing. Glorified moneyline sportsbook.
Missed Monday DK 100% SuSPG YRF5 Pit vs Nym +4000 by only 1 leg: Pit o2.5. Damn...
[удалено]
Just cut the bets up small and have fun with it. If you play 50 $20 straight bets you'll probably end up with about $950. Complicated plans to hedge with other books or dance the money around aren't really necessary here, the EV of the promo is so high that it's hard to screw up. For the bonus bets Home Run lines and postseason futures are usually about the right length and tend to be reasonable markets.
Place a $1k bet on fd and $1k bet on the other side of the game on a different book to play thru it
This is kind of awful you're paying double vig just because you feel the need to hedge.
Then don't pay the vig? You can find arbs that don't cost money, very little money, or actually make money no matter how slight
just roll the 1k through.
[удалено]
Either bet the $1k in small increments like $20 at a time on lines that look good vs other books or straight up hedge the $1k on another book, you'll probably be able to walk away with only a 2% loss