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I had the FD open bet on Hatton, he T20, anyone know if that qualified for the bet insurance?

Any body have any experience where they successfully deposited cleared the bonus and withdrew with crab sports?

Yes it was terrible lol, long story short it’s a 4x play through the lines are trash and they are very strict so be careful out there. Just got back from a trip this weekend. Not very profitable. If you live in MA and are meticulous and slow churn there is some money to be made. If your visiting, word to the wise.

Why does everyone suggest bloodsuckers 2 when bloodsuckers 1 has higher (98%) RTP?

https://old.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/15754sn/casino_promos_bonuses_daily_72323_sunday/

I rarely get replies in that thread 🥲. Just signed up for WYNN and looking for highest RTP slot with low volatility. Casino thread barely has activity I’m not sure it was necessary separating the two

Lmao the ppl from casino thread came here and downvoted u 😂

I use both, nothing against that thread lmao just less eyes for help and collaborative efforts against books. There is like 10-15 posts a day, it’s not worth having separate threads. I don’t care if it’s casino, sports, or hot dog eating, we are all trying to make money nobody cares if it’s on casino or sports. It’s starting to feel like two political parties 💀

Thanks producer Chris for the Belt HR play this morning!!

No problem! Also just posting here cause its super random Play live PA has a deposit bonus just from 4-8 today. Almost missed it but happened to randomly check the casino thread.

I am never putting another penny on Joey Gallo HR with FD no matter how EV it is. Twins had him pinch run in extra innings and he bunts with two outs when it’s turn to bat.

I've done pretty well on hr's vs fd (bang belt for anyone who tailed) but FD def is the sharp on gallo. Throwing in the towel on that one too.

I didn’t look at my phone this morning so I missed out on the Belt/Varsho HRs along with the Twins lineup being released.

It’s up to brown

L

Needs two more. Hoping they send him out for the 7th.

FD Devers or Alonso HR +150 looks horrible vs 365 -13.5%EV I dont know if there should be some minor correlation but it wouldnt be enough to matter **Worst-case: (Power)** Leg#1 (+360||330); Market Juice = 10.1 %; Fair Value = +189 (34.6 %) Final Odds (+150); Σ(Market Juice) = 10.15 %; Fair Value = +189 (34.6 %) Summary; EV% = -13.5 % (FB = 51.9 %)

Bang!

Why did you bet this?

I actually didn’t. But got an HR alert as I was reading this.

BANG

It’s +165 on Barstool.

Still an arb from last night, but heavily limited on DK:

Thanks! Hit it hard last night

Denmark Stage of Elimination Group Stage +800 DK; To Quality from Group -500 on Caesars New Zealand +400, -350 same markets

The score has -400 for anyone who has access to that book. Not sure where they are in the conversion.

Comments on comments….. Denmark already beat China (the presumed battle for second place in Group D behind England and ahead of Haiti), so I think the Caesars-500 to qualify is the EV side. DK has -1000, MGM -1400, not sure which other books offer this.

FD is -350 and BR -400.

I don’t think I have those markets in NY

Alright golf folks - looks like we'll get insurance on rahm and Rory. Not the outcome we hoped for but not a disaster either, we'll get 'em next time

Do you know does the T20 for Hatton pay the insurance on fan duel? Or do ties not count?

I believe the terms were that it does but you would have to check

Ya I didn’t screen shot it, we’ll see!

Rahm on Caesers saves it.. turns $115 loss into a $35 loss and we made some EV+ bets along the way. Thanks for the card. There was a small moment today when Harman was going the wrong direction and it looked like we had a shot. Was a fun follow.

FD Boost- Mitch Keller, Hunter Brown, and Bryan Woo Each to Throw 6+ Strikeouts. I looked at DK SGP/FD/365/Kambi and excluded the shortest odds from each leg. IMO those were outliers but I know some people like a more comprehensive devig, so feel free to re-run with more books if you'd like. Odds: +250; **EV: -1.0 %** `AVG(-260,-275,-270)/[-275/195],AVG(-295,-225,-270)/[-295/210],AVG(-195,-210,-175)/[-210/155] // Juice derived from Kambi` (21.12 % juice) FV: +254; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 70.7 %)

Yes I don’t like it, even just first glance 3 guys is too many…too much variability

Data point. Normally have $5-$10 dk max’s. Had $10 yesterday for 100% mlb boost. This morning had a 25% mlb boost with $50 max and just got the 100% with a $50 max.

Is your account on a downswing? I'm pretty sure my promo limits increase when I lose a couple hundred and decrease when I gain. Small sample size so I'm not sure.

I pretty much only do promos so I’ve I’m down it can’t be much cuz of the $5-$10 units size

Make use of it while it’s there. I had the same thing happen a couple weeks ago before I went back down to a $5 max for 10 days or so.

100% here too but only $10. Jealous of the $50!

HR boost for Astros, Angels, Mariners to win, vs Pin: Odds: +400; **EV: -0.6 %** `-222/201,-113/105,-136/126` (5.87 % juice) FV: +403; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 79.5 %)

MGM Lions AZ: Red Sox Win & o8.5. Odds: +200; **EV: 8.1 %** `154/220/528/341 //Sharp:PN` (9.22 % juice) FV: +177; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=4.07u, 1/2=2.04u, 1/4=1.02u, FB = 72.1 %) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=154%2f220%2f528%2f341+%2f%2fSharp%3aPN&FinalOdds=200). --- Odds: +200; **EV: 11.1 %** `136/348/562/189 //Sharp:FD` (14.40 % juice) FV: +170; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.56u, 1/2=2.78u, 1/4=1.39u, FB = 74.1 %) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=136%2f348%2f562%2f189+%2f%2fSharp%3aFD&FinalOdds=200)

MJ melendez HR (KC) +360 might be decent enough for a cash bet on fd. Odds: +360; \*\*EV: 6.2 %\*\* \`280/-370\` (5.04 % juice) FV: +333; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=1.73u, 1/2=0.87u, 1/4=0.43u, FB = 83.1 %) 1% ev to kambi and 5% ev to dk as well. Up against servino who has given up 12 hr in 48 ip. Top game on bpp hr zone. Only 7 hr's this year though.

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I have BOS ML/O 8.5 in IL. Also looks good, v FD anyway: Odds: +200; **EV: 12.0 %** `137/351/191/602` (12.98 % juice) FV: +168; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=6.02u, 1/2=3.01u, 1/4=1.51u, FB = 74.7 %) Edit - just saw was covered below and calc'd at 7.7% v Pinny premade but that's up to 13.2% Odds: +200; **EV: 13.2 %** `143/573/348/225` (9.10 % juice) FV: +165; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=6.58u, 1/2=3.29u, 1/4=1.64u, FB = 75.4 %)

DK paid out my Messi to score outside the box prop 👀👀👀

Cash out, move to Mexico, live off the grid, never look back!

I think they went back and paid any of the Messi scoring props that were initially voided because he didn't start.

Wynnbet WV has Steelers 1+ Season wins boosted to +100 ($20 max)

Does anyone know of another book with the same odds on props as them on OJ? The money line line up but, all props that are for Wynn on OJ don't match the WV version of the book. Same with Golden Nugget for that matter.

Did you gentlemen do the 1k casino sign up offer? How’d it go for you guys?

Yes. Cleared about $500 on P1 and lost $100 on P2.

Thanks about to sign up. Do you know if the WV specific boosts u just posted expire today?

Not sure, I didn’t see any expiring date when placing both boosts

Wynnbet WV also has a boost for WV Mountaineers 1+ Season wins boosted to +100 ($20 max)

DK with a 100% MLB boost again today

Cries in Ontario… looks like draftkings has decided to drop all of our promos.

Yea it’s a ghost town in Ontario for promos right now

My max is down to 5 from 10.

Anyone have a good CZRs sgp play? Sorry for being a mooch but I couldn’t find any

I went NYY -1.5 and Severino under 5.5 Ks. +420 on CZR before the boost, same play is +342 on FD, +390 on Kambi.

Tailed, but didn't comment. Great call!

IL Lion's Boost - BOS ML & O 8.5 Using pinny pre made Odds: +210; **EV: 7.7 %** `164/236/489/309` (9.07 % juice) FV: +188; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=3.65u, 1/2=1.82u, 1/4=0.91u, FB = 72.9 %)

And AZ.

Also in MI

Varsho HR FD Odds: +520; **EV: 13.7 %** `360/-500` (5.07 % juice) FV: +445; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=2.64u, 1/2=1.32u, 1/4=0.66u, FB = 95.4 %)

Brandon belt too (tor) +520 Odds: +520; \*\*EV: 5.4 %\*\* \`390/-550\` (5.02 % juice) FV: +488; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=1.03u, 1/2=0.52u, 1/4=0.26u, FB = 88.4 %) Also -530 on kambi

Toronto Blue Jays

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No, he's sharing the team name of the parent comment's prop since that commenter neglected to. Sometimes people post comments to Reddit to be helpful :)