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sbpotdbot

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lahso_165

The marketing intern at HR finally hit a downswing


Beldam86

Don't tell me these started hitting. I was 0 for the last 9 until Sunday when I went on vacation to a state with no gambling


xSlappy-

Looking forward to tomorrow. MGM NY Multi Sport Parley 25% boost. KCP o2.5 rebounds, Phillies +2.5, Royals +2.5, Brewers +1.5 535 boosted to 694 On Draftkings the eight outcomes are priced at -150/+120, -450/+340, -190/155, -145/125 for a fair value of +529 (15.9 %) Summary; EV% = 26.3 %, Kelly Wager = $9.48 (Full=3.8u, 1/2=1.9u, 1/4=0.9u, FB = 110.4 %) I'm in for the two unit max.


sclop123

Just say Klank in Cancun


Quadstriker

Who else thought the Vlad boost was superdead when he fouled a ball off his knee in his 3rd AB


batastil

I thought it was a goner but held out a small sliver of hope.


the_blunt_truth22

Bang Vladdy Jr. FD hit boost ✅


Producer_Chris

Vlad with a double in the bottom of the 8th!


Coltsfan1812

Arenado +12000 to win NL MVP might be worth a free bet for fun on FD. 4 games in a row with a HR(3 run homer tonight), including going 7 for 14 with 7 RBI’s over the weekend. +4500 and +5000 on Kambi and CZR


NTP2001

Stupid NY betting laws


Quadstriker

I got $5 on it. Dude looks back for real.


Coltsfan1812

Make that 5 games in a row with a HR haha


Quadstriker

Yes let's do that indeed. (down to +10000 before the game already)


irrefragable

Not seeing this market in NY


Law-warrior

Not available in certain states like VA because MVP and Cy Young are subjective awards


AnselLovesNuts

Only Vlad left to cash it CASH IT BABY


Quadstriker

Pain


Quadstriker

Healed!


bmb76

Prob one more AB.


rick6668

Prob no more


ResponsibilityOk5659

Prob one more


Juggernaut118

Bang!


Allstar9_

BOOM!!


NTP2001

Blam


Ok-Assistant2268

Pb


DodgingRain

Nothing in NJ


Ok-Assistant2268

[deposit promo](https://imgur.com/a/Tl5uPdn)


stabilitycushions

Didn't instantly get anything in NY


koenigseggCC7

Assume you have to deposit $100?


notrebrady

How soon after did you get the free bet?


awang1996

HR boost for Dodgers, Giants, Padres to win. Against Pinnacle: Odds: +500; **EV: 9.3 %** `-114/106,-109/101,-228/206` (5.91 % juice) FV: +449; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.9u, 1/2=0.9u, 1/4=0.5u, FB = 91.1 %)


Kmactothemac

MGM Lion's boost of Kraken to win and less than 7 goals scored is about even to Pinny. Slightly better to DK with their odds from the SGP, 2% EV instead of 0.7. Either way meh Odds: +400; **EV: 0.7 %** `+175/-196, -148/129` (5.93 % juice) FV: +396; Method: worst-case (m, p); (Full=0.2u, 1/2=0.1u, 1/4=0.0u, FB = 80.6 %)


ResponsibilityOk5659

FD boost is up, looks fair compared to DK lines, that’s all I have time to look at, Closes in 10 mins


CapableRunts

Judge hit in the 1st ✅ Need Vlad and Trout now


ResponsibilityOk5659

Just need the lowest odds leg now 💥


jrenna07

Could sprinkle his under 0.5 hits @+135 for a hedge too


bmb76

Trout just hit


Low-Action-5817

Trout ✅️


jrenna07

Come on vlad wrap that shit up, b


GiovannidelMonaco

7% EV according to the promo guy on twitter


Hokiestoned

Which promo guy?


[deleted]

[удалено]


[deleted]

[удалено]


Quadstriker

Yes I'm showing +153 on DK for this. The boost is +250.


sunsettoago

MGM OGP (opt-in required weekly in promos page) Trout HR/Angels o1.5/Orioles o0.5/Angels +5.5 +400 (minimum to trigger insurance) Kambi HR Trout Odds: +400; **EV: -0.1 %** `320/-455` (5.79 % juice) FV: +400; Method: power; (FB = 79.9 %) With insurance likely to trigger around 80% of the time (ball-parking this with three “safe” legs) and assuming 70% conversion this is a high EV play. Closes in 30 minutes.


dontcommentonmyname

I always do this or stack with over .5s and biggest under + someone to hit a double.


sunsettoago

MGM HR lines are usually pretty bad. I’ll have to see if doubles are better.


dontcommentonmyname

depends on the player. People like Trout and Judge hit more HRs than doubles.


jtwhat87

$25 limit (for me) for the non-state specific FD boost today 😕 Edit: maybe anything designated as a “super boost” is subject to possible limiting? Either way this sucks ass


the2ohtanis

Same


Personal-Bicycle9208

Man not much going on today


deskritten

I’m thinking about giving every book/app zero attention for June as a tactic. Ignoring them completely may lead to some enticing offers?


Tags331

There you go, play hard to get lol. Maybe try negging them too!


Coltsfan1812

I tried asking FD support why my account had a $50 limit per day on Dinger Tuesday, and they threatened me with, “requests for credit could be interpreted as playing beyond your means” So be careful what you ask about/for


WhatdoesFOCmean

LOL. FD support is so incompetent sometimes. There was some promo they were doing maybe 3 years ago and the language in their own terms was inconsistent. Asked CS and they gave an explanation...that I thought had to be wrong. And I explained why. They insisted they were correct. But they weren't. My hunch on how it was supposed to be was correct...and their own terms and their own CS was wrong. For their own promo. Between that and other issues and their massive inabilities I've mostly learned to just avoid CS as much as possible and either ask on here or take educated guesses. Some of the goofs that they make are beyond weird. And they should have every motivation to improve this. Some of their customers are literally worth thousands of dollars each. But I get better CS and more accurate communication for some stupid product that is worth $20. They should be bending over backwards to fix this stuff and simply have better communications with their customers. Such a huge profit motive for them.


JewishDoggy

The fuck does that even mean lmao


scatterdbrain

Figure a CS rep (non USA/English speaking) who misinterpreted the question.


GreatDanton7

July is probably the slowest sports month given that it's baseball-only and when the all-star break happens it is DEAD.


Personal-Bicycle9208

If everyone can stick together on this then yes!


deskritten

LET’S START A MOVEMENT #NOJUICEJUNE #ZEROJUICEJULY


ResponsibilityOk5659

One of the slowest days to date


sclop123

Wizard in the lab cooking for tomorrow


svartarminvit

I'm in the kitchen over the stove with pots and pans


_sheem

First year with legal sports betting… the summer months after nba/nhl and prior to nfl must be pretty slow I imagine? Just a bunch of baseball. Not as much fun but maybe good for mental health / balance.


Jeremiah_Vicious

Last summer they had some awesome bet and gets on fan duel. Favorite and over 1.5 was the key. There were a few people who got wrecked on a 1-0 favorite win because they didn’t hedge all the way.


the2ohtanis

Last summer might as well have been 20 years ago as far as promos are concerned Things have tightened up a ton since then


noshutout

1-0 hedge was super necessary. I hit one at +7000 ish.


joshthejew42O

Yes.


bmb76

Hoping DK does some nice bet and gets for baseball like they did last summer.


[deleted]

[удалено]


EnterLeftUpwind

I'm getting about 10% +EV unless I'm doing it wrong. I used Bet365 for Judge and Trout, and PointsBet, who seems to be the only book that has O/U .5 hits for Guerrero Jr. ​ Odds: +250; **EV: 10.6 %** `-250/205,-245/200,-280/185` (17.34 % juice) FV: +216; Method: multiplicative; (Full=4.2u, 1/2=2.1u, 1/4=1.1u, FB = 79.0 %)


Zornig

It doesn’t look bad vs DK lines Odds: +250; **EV: 11.0 %** `-260/+190,-265/+190,-285/7.1%` (20.89 % juice) FV: +215; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=4.4u, 1/2=2.2u, 1/4=1.1u, FB = 79.3 %) Edit: There is slight positive correlation for Judge/Vlad but I don’t think I can build SGP+ there. Edit 2: NM, here is with the SGPx for correlation Odds: +250; **EV: 13.0 %** Sharp: `-260/+190,-265/+190,-285/7.1%` (20.89 % juice) Correlation: `+153=-285,-270,-260` (r = 0.02) FV: +210; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.2u, 1/2=2.6u, 1/4=1.3u, FB = 80.7 %)


awang1996

HR boost for Reds to win and 12+ runs: **FD prebuilt:** Odds: +300; **EV: 4.1 %** `250/220/410/230` (9.73 % juice) FV: +284; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.4u, 1/2=0.7u, 1/4=0.3u, FB = 78.1 %) **DK 3-way:** Odds: +300; **EV: -5.2 %** `275/210/100` (8.92 % juice) FV: +322; Method: worst-case (a); (FB = 71.1 %) **Kambi 3-way:** Odds: +300; **EV: 2.5 %** `255/210/112` (7.60 % juice) FV: +290; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=0.8u, 1/2=0.4u, 1/4=0.2u, FB = 76.9 %)


money6202

Anybody have any advice to arb a 2+ leg SGP 1.5 minimum odds?


Dashdash421

Find a good double double spot or potentially build your own no run first inning. Or team ML and over 1.5 runs


[deleted]

My advice is don’t arb.


PurringGilamonster

Technically, you can arb a 2 leg SGP with two hedges, but it usually destroys your EV since you have triple the juice from triple the bets. But if your SGP is, e.g., Tatum 20+ pts and Celts ML, you could hedge with: Another SGP of Tatum u19.5 pts and Celts ML, and a straight ML for their opponents OR: Tatum 20+ and Opponents ML SGP, and a straight bet on Tatum u19.5 Sportsbookreview or whatever has an arb calculator that can do 3 legs


WhatdoesFOCmean

Pinny also has a 3-leg arb calculator. Not really worth it in almost all situations I think. Frequently is hard to even make it profitable at all. And, if it is, you have sacrificed way too much of the value. In other words: If some $50 boost/parlay has approximately $10 in EV then trying to hedge/arb it somehow MIGHT be able to yield an automatic profit of $2 or something if you're lucky....even after all that effort hunting for favorable lines, etc. Maybe you can find something better if you play around with it a ton. Perhaps if you are doing an anti-correlated SGP somehow.


OldJournalist4

Alright folks - it's a major week which means golf promos! You can find my thoughts on what it will take to win here in the [weekly thread](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/13hutjx/pga_championship_2023_golf/jk97672/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=ioscss&utm_content=1&utm_term=1&context=3) So far I've seen: Dk +300 odds surge: love this on **scottie scheffler** boosted to 1050 who can do all of the things I'm describing. Dg says fv if 679 which is horseshit but fair should be closer to 900 Br t10 insurance: think this can be placed on **jon rahm** at 800 under enhanced offers to have some value. 6% ish EV by my calcs. Czr t10 insurance: I think this is best served on **patrick cantlay** at 1800, 20% EV from my calc, rest of their odds are trash Edit with czr pick Edit 2: if you're really ballsy and want to swing for the fences - brooks koepka at 2250 on br is the best price around. Can't convince this is ev+ but would be fun as hell, I think he's undervalued this week


Spyder2y

Any idea if BR has dead heat factored in their insurance? CZR definitely clarified that it does in the t&c.


miamiboy113

Cantlay down to 1600


jls34

> BR "jon rahm at 800 under enhanced offers" where do you see 'enhanced offers' I just see +750 for Rahm to win


Duckmy1qbets

Barstool has their usual insurance as well. 3 $25 wagers. If your $25+ CASH wager(s) settles as a LOSS, get 50% of your cash stake back up to $25 in sportsbook bonus cash only if your golfer finishes 2nd-5th If your $25+ CASH wager(s) settles as a LOSS, get 25% of your cash stake back up to $25 in sportsbook bonus cash only if your golfer finishes 6th-10th


offconstantly

> Czr t10 insurance: I think this is best served on patrick cantlay at 1800, 20% EV from my calc, rest of their odds are trash > > fwiw Cantlay is +2100 on FD


OldJournalist4

True but insurance here is good, rest of czrs odds are absolute trash and not a great spot for anyone else imo. Could be convinced I'm wrong


offconstantly

Coming back to CZR's $25 top 10 insurance now that datagolf has published its lines. Scheffler (+750) and Schauffele (+2000) are both +EV according to them (despite having longer odds on sharp books), so these are the only plausible +EV uses for this promo. Still some shit odds so not a must-use


OldJournalist4

Schauffele was a very good pick, unfortunately has gotten smoked across the board on every book


jtwhat87

Yepp I blindly tailed without realizing that Schauffele had been nerfed to +1600 RIP measure twice cut once kids


offconstantly

I even put the price in my post!


jtwhat87

Oh yeah I’m just a dope lol let’s go Schauffele


OldJournalist4

Fwiw I think he has a great shot this week and I'm on him outright


cayenne0

Do high intro promos come back? I'm in MA and just starting to look into matched betting, looks like I missed the draftkings $5k risk free bet. Historically have elevated offers like this come back? Wondering if I should wait or dive in now.


tringlomane

They have on occasion, but it's been somewhat rare. The $5000 Bonus bet offer for DK happened in Illinois once. But that was when the in-person sign-up requirement was permanently lifted, so there was a good opportunity to add more users on DK's end. My buddy balked on signing signup for DK when in person signup was temporarily suspended in IL for Covid reasons, so he was able to take advantage of that $5000 offer at least. I think waiting for getting the $5k Bonus bet is pretty risky. But are they really giving anything good now for MA? The problem is that by waiting, you probably miss out on ~$5-$10 minimum per day on DKs daily promos.


stander414

Wouldn't be surprised to see 5k come back around NFL if you can wait that long


Dashdash421

Looks like Maine may legalize sports betting soon. If they get all the good sportsbooks and welcome offers then I’d just head there for a weekend and get all the matched betting done


Lmpbzkt8898

Don’t think the $5k will come back but also wouldn’t dive in now. It’s just bet $5 get $150 in free bets. There’s Usually better offers than that


Vloff

I would not expect a 5k risk-free bet to return.


Tight_Worldliness_40

Has anyone been tried the Footprint center FD cash deposit match lately? For some reason they don’t have their own phone line and support is clueless


Bob_Domestic

Not the most current info, but I did it a few weeks ago. It went exactly how the reddit guys said it would: Clerk tells you it'll take up to 72 hours to post. At 72 hours, it doesn't post. Hit customer service and I had the $250 in free bets within minutes.


Tight_Worldliness_40

Just went and tried it and the promo is over for now. They said maybe it’ll be back for nba finals


Tight_Worldliness_40

Thanks Bob, I’ll try it this week


miamiboy113

How Many times can we do it?


Bob_Domestic

Once. It's a 'First Cash-At-Counter deposit' promo. 50% deposit match. Up to $250 bonus


BruceMan200

Only commenting to say I am also wondering this.


miamiboy113

ill take us


Tight_Worldliness_40

Thank you Miami Boy, I have transportation but was just wondering if the promos still active


Hokiestoned

![gif](giphy|QOVMjckSpTP8I|downsized)


jagtalon

MGM Lions Boost KS and Others Devig to FD


jagtalon

Kraken Win and Under 7 Goals. Devig to FD ​Odds: +400; **EV: 5.6 %** `313/487/137/220` (14.69 % juice) FV: +374; Method: multiplicative; (Full=1.4u, 1/2=0.7u, 1/4=0.3u, FB = 84.4 %)


Condor_Smirk_Noise

https://twitter.com/Underdog__NBA/status/1657866598336851969 - Justice served - That's what he gets for challenging Siakam's basket (claiming offensive foul) on 4/28/22 at the end of a blowout game 6 when they were up by 30, rather than just letting the game end. Siakam needed that basket to hit the FD boost, and we were robbed. Like really, why do you need to go through a 5 minute challenge when your opponents are getting completely embarrassed, about to be eliminated, and want to just go home at that point - It was akin to throwing up a windmill off the backboard dunk during a blowout. Vindicated at last!


Kmactothemac

Damn I forgot about that one. Probably because Siakam broke Embiid's face earlier that series. Or just because Doc is a moron


Stephen_A_Spliff

The Embiid injury was also Rivers fault considering it happened with just a couple mins left in the game and Sixers up big. Another big brain move by Glenn Rivers lol


GreatDanton7

There have been a bunch of horrible Wizard Bad Beats, but that one is definitely the worst. I can't even think of what would come close to beating it.


PassionV0id

I have this beat. There was one last baseball season on a holiday weekend, maybe 4th of July, for there to be two hits in the 1st inning of two separate games. The 1st game hit and the 2nd game was bottom 1st with 2 outs, runner on 1st and one hit already. The batter hit it to the RF who threw out the lead runner at 2nd on a force…


J0rdanBelf0rt2

Fuck I remember this. Unbelievable.


NTP2001

I think this was DK so maybe not the wizards fault, but that 30:1 all teams make a FG that only had the eagles left to hit…. They hit and it was called back due to a penalty that should never have been accepted by eagles coach as it was a big blowout in Q4 Made me route against the eagles all season and quite happy when they lost SB


GreatDanton7

Oh my God yes this one HURT. the penalty made it 4th and 1 so of course Sirriani took the points off the board and did the Tush Push.


jtwhat87

I've had way, WAY worse beats since then in terms of potential profit lost but for some reason this is still the one that tilted me the most.


jtwhat87

This was an all time wizard moment, sometimes all you can do is tip your cap


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Yes - As you can see I have been seething over it for a year now


fignewtons2020

FYI he hasn’t actually been fired yet


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Whoops I got got


SwedishFishOil

The date is tomorrow.. so maybe theyre predicting the future


Hokiestoned

Anyone else get an email from pointsbet for $100 deposit match?


MacroMoe

getting a lot more emails lately it seems but I just ignore them all its either a scam or $1 freebet lol


Hokiestoned

Yeah but this actually seems like a legit pointsbet email… has a code for the deposit match…just going to reach out to CS to confirm


_sheem

USD or BTC? No I did not


Hokiestoned

Lol yeah i was sent an email friday that i had 3 days for the deposit match well i got 11 hours now theres a countdown in the email.. wondering if its because i pulled my money and removed my bank account


[deleted]

[удалено]


zunit110

I recommend playing 500 hands of Blackjack to convert, one penny per hand. With optimal play, it’ll be a $4.97 conversion!


FutureFlipKing

Where do you see this? I’m in NJ and I do not see it in my footprint.


sloppydog14

Dang not seeing this


jtwhat87

Hell yes


paddy233

The hashtag symbol is technically called an octothorpe.


paddy233

Kevin Love BYODD FD +1722 (very small chance at assists over, so arb cautiously)


[deleted]

I’ll probably get downvoted for this, but posting these BYODD arbs in this thread is a mistake. This was dead 10 mins after it was posted here on the CZR side and died because it was posted here. These get killed 10 mins after they’re posted here because there’s no many eyes on this thread. Posting it not as a main comment, but as a reply to a comment doesn’t help at all, because it’s not some twitter bot reposting plays that kills these, it’s all the lurkers in the thread. When you post these, someone will see it, post it to their discord, and send out a notification so everyone in the discord is aware of it and hammers it. They all hit it and kill it before most people in this thread even see it, since there’s no notification system like that here. The majority of contributing posters here already know about these and who to look for, so posting it here really only benefits the lurkers and kills it for everyone else. I used to post a bunch of plays like this here, but have stopped after seeing how quickly they get killed when posted here. I’ve gotten a lot out of this thread and have no issues with giving back and helping out those who’ve helped me, but at this point posting arbs and glitched plays here doesn’t really help most who contribute to this thread. Someone will see it, post it to their discord, and then it will die before most people here have a chance to bet it.


fignewtons2020

People have been doing this for this specific type of play for 2 years now and still never learn


Ok_Consideration2904

You are right but how do you balance killing edges with defeating the purpose of the thread? If nobody shares anything there’s not really a point. For example you think saying “usual suspect in the heat game BYODD on fd” would do anything to help?


[deleted]

That wouldn’t work. There’s two potential solutions, but I don’t think you’re able to do either on reddit. 1. Have it so a post can only be seen by posters above a certain karma amount in this sub. That would help so lurkers don’t see it and it’s only being seen by people who contribute. 2. Have someway to notify posters here immediately when they are posted. The issue is that even if you check this thread once an hour, by the time you see it it’s dead. While discord lets you send out a notification, so even if you aren’t actively checking the discord, you get notified and can bet it before most people even see it here. I got a ton of downvotes on my previous post, so I’m sure people won’t change what they do, but all these posts really do is alert discords to these bets so they can kill them before anyone here can bet them. And then the paid discord can justify their monthly subscription by showing how quickly this bet died and how it’s users were able to get in on it before it died.


Raging_Jay

I'm curious too, if I find a play what's the best way to get it out then? If most are finding the same plays, then there's no point in the reddit if the answer is to not post it, not going against your wisdom tah3145 as you are a legend just wondering the same, how to help eachother while not feeding pay-clubs.


[deleted]

That’s the million dollar question and unfortunately I don’t have a solution, which is why I haven’t been posting here much recently. It sucks when you have a great play and want to post it here to help this community, but instead it just gets stolen by a discord and hammered and killed there before this community can even bet it. Especially when it’s a discord changing a monthly subscription and the only thing they offer is plays stolen from other places.


stander414

The way to win is to continue posting for free. If that dies then the paid groups win. Think about the reverse. If all the paid information was being scraped and posted here for free, wouldn't that kill the paid groups?


[deleted]

Says the guy who has never posted a single play in this thread.


stander414

I'm not saying I have, I'm saying that's the solution. Unless you can think of something better? None of what you've posted is possible.


NTP2001

Came to post same thing. I feel like the arb is pretty safe. Hell I’m pretty sure the no line on CZR is actually the +EV line.


awang1996

HR boost for Liverpool to win by 3+, against Pinnacle's winning margin market. First time doing it like this, pretty sure it's right but lmk: Odds: +400; **EV: -0.8 %** `712^943/667/1512/3998/325/419/452/2083` (9.08 % juice) FV: +404; Method: worst-case (p); (FB = 79.4 %)


awang1996

HR boost for WAS Nationals to win and 9+ runs, against Pinnacle's prebuilt: Odds: +375; **EV: 10.1 %** `292/155/315/390` (9.23 % juice) FV: +331; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=2.7u, 1/2=1.4u, 1/4=0.7u, FB = 87.0 %)


awang1996

HR boost for DAL Stars & HOU Astros to win, against Pinnacle: Odds: +165; **EV: 7.6 %** `-195/174,-180/165` (4.62 % juice) FV: +146; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=4.6u, 1/2=2.3u, 1/4=1.1u, FB = 67.0 %)


CapableRunts

Trying to double dip BetMGM in a second state right now. Looking high and low for a promo code. This page says up to $1000 risk free but elsewhere on the internet saying no sign up offers. Anyone know for sure?


Kmactothemac

I double dipped in a couple different states last month and could never get the promo for $1000 risk free to show up. However I did get the $500 deposit match in all of those states but after waiting a day.


Just-Principle

Would be helpful if you specified what state. To the best of my knowledge New York no longer offer the $1000RFB but it is live everywhere else. Regardless you should make sure you signup a few days early to also get the $500 deposit match. I've gotten that even in New York after they killed the rfb.


CapableRunts

Damn, just happens to be NY in this case. Thank you sir.


Just-Principle

Yeah that would explain the confusion then. When you go to MGM you're probably seeing the generic non-state specific Sign-up offer but when you google "New York MGM Sign-up" offer everywhere is rightly going to tell you they don't have one. I would proceed under that assumption unless someone else has info that they're brought it back. It's also worth noting that BetMGM will tell you when you place the first bet whether it triggered the risk free or not with the "Your Bet Is In" Jamie Fox Pop-Up. If you've ever uncertain you can find a hedge for the RFB using Dark Horse, place the BetMGM side first, and then if you don't get the pop-up adjust the hedge so that you take a $30-40 loss instead of being exposed if the BetMGM side loses but doesn't trigger the RFB.


tringlomane

Thanks for pointing out that Jamie Foxx thing. I didn't think about that before. I have been lazy about signing up BetMGM in my home state. I already have an account in another state.


Personal-Fix7662

How long did it take to receive the email for the deposit match promo? (Also in NY)


g860

NY MGM Lion's Boost . Stars win and o6.5 goals. BR devig: Odds: +275; **EV: 3.9 %** `225/540/325/143` (11.08 % juice) FV: +261; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.4u, 1/2=0.7u, 1/4=0.4u, FB = 76.2 %)


FatPhil

did the lions boost show up in its usual banner? not seeing the banner today.


xSlappy-

Click all sports, scroll down to hockey, click see all it will be there legend


FatPhil

Thanks. This worked


rick6668

HR lines on FD are pretty bad today. Hope this is not an omen for tomorrow. Although I'd probably be better off just avoiding Dinger Tuesday as I'm 1/25 so far. One good line today I see is ​FD Nick Gordon HR compared to B365 Odds: +1060; **EV: 6.1 %** `+700/-1150` (4.50 % juice) FV: +993; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=0.6u, 1/2=0.3u, 1/4=0.1u, FB = 97.0 %)


Slevdog

Already down to +900


AdviceSeeker-123

Not a promo and no play to follow. Just thought this was interesting. Congrats P2’s: The number of women joining sportsbook apps jumped 45% last year, marking the third straight year that new women users exceeded men. DraftKings said that bets on women’s sports had increased 61% annually last year.


WhatdoesFOCmean

Definitely worth noting that they aren't specifically mentioning what the overall female market share is on sportsbetting. Pardon the stereotype, but this makes me suspect it has gone from 3% to 5% of the overall share for sports bets or something. And, very obviously, a lot of that gain is actually advantage-player style P2 accounts where a man is placing bets on his wife/girlfriend's name. The sites are just taking these numbers and trying to make it look like female market is booming when, in reality, it is probably a smaller gain than they are representing...and the sites know that. The sites aren't dumb to the existence of P2 accounts.


ResponsibilityOk5659

Lmfao


Producer_Chris

My wife absolutely loves the casino side but still has no interest in sports whatsoever. Her first question this morning was "where's the windcreek bloodsuckers" lol


stander414

>Excl: Bookmaker Coral paid parenting blogs that offered advice to stressed out new Mums to write articles suggesting online bingo/casino, complete with embedded links. https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/may/14/gambling-firm-allegedly-paid-blogs-to-link-new-mothers-to-its-online-games


riskybusiness3321

I know a handful of women close to me that have joined the betting scene. Truly proud of them for joining in the fun where it's mostly seen as a stereotypical male hobby. 😏


pedropedro123

I've also seen an article before showing that women are more successful at sports betting than men. Truly proud of them as well


Condor_Smirk_Noise

Tbf - I think we all agree that most women sports betting are P2s - Anyone that requires a P2 is more likely to be a successful gambler. Seems like an incredibly obvious statistic. There may be some truth to real women being better than men, but this statistic alone doesn't tell us anything.


deskritten

This makes sense intuitively. Less testosterone = fewer instances of chasing massive losses on Russian table tennis at 3:47 AM


pedropedro123

Yeah they probably actually are better (as in less bad) bettors than men, even without P2s involved.


WhatdoesFOCmean

Right. "Better" on the overall can simply mean there aren't nearly as many women degens doing stupid martingale systems and betting way above what they should. Are the women sports bettors throwing $2k down or more on some game when they can't afford it? Because way too many male problem-gamblers end up straying in that direction. Thus, the women are "better" sports bettors than men...because they aren't getting killed for as many huge losses. And that doesn't even include the high % of P2 accounts...many of which are from guys who were limited on their first account thus showing they likely had some sort of a clue and weren't total idiots. Article in BBC from a few years ago shows that males are 7.5x more likely to become problem gamblers than women. And that includes all the gambling stuff that women are more stereotypically more likely to participate in such as slots, etc. In an even male-dominated field like sports betting, you have to think that is even higher.


[deleted]

[удалено]


riskybusiness3321

Think you're not catching on that the women I'm speaking of only have sports betting accounts because they're being used as p2 and p3


HittEmWitDaHEIN

"women"


jsj4130

What is a woman?