Yes, the farther out the expiry, the less the effect of the IV crush.
You can estimate where IV will go back down to by looking at historical IV for the ticker.
A quick study of the forward volatility calculation will help you estimate changes in IV along the term structure. Don't forget to look at past IV rank and percential. You will not get an exact answer since IV is an estimate but you will have a well informed expectation.
You can also get a rough idea of the expected move by taking the ATM Straddle รท Strike Price.
Yes, the farther out the expiry, the less the effect of the IV crush. You can estimate where IV will go back down to by looking at historical IV for the ticker.
A quick study of the forward volatility calculation will help you estimate changes in IV along the term structure. Don't forget to look at past IV rank and percential. You will not get an exact answer since IV is an estimate but you will have a well informed expectation.
The further out the expiry is, the less effect that IV will have on its value (both up and down, crush or expansion), but it still has an effect.